My Photo
Name: Cardgrrl
Location: Washington, DC

Let me hear from you! I'm interested in your thoughts on anything I've written. If you'd rather not leave comments on my blog, please email me at

Saturday, October 10, 2009

Crubs Get There

We have our first brave contributor! Submitted for your consideration by Rakewell (aka The Poker Grump):

OK, I'll give this a shot. I had one today—kind of a classic of the genre. Not extraordinary, mathematically speaking, but illustrative.

Bally's, Vegas, $1/2 NLHE. I'm in big blind (Seat 1) with 9c-9d. Seat 4 limps. Seat 5 makes it $10. Seat 7 calls. Seat 8 calls. I call. Seat 4 calls. Pot is about $45 after $5 rake. Flop is 9h-7c-2c, giving me the nuts. I check, highly confident that there will be a bet and at least one call, allowing me to trap some money with a check-raise. Sure enough, Seat 5 bets $15 after Seat 4 checks. Seat 7 calls. Seat 8 calls. I push it to $50. Everybody folds except Seat 8, who calls. He is the newest at the table, having arrived only a few hands before, so I know nothing about him except that (1) he came from a limit game and most of his chip stacks are still white $1 chips, and (2) he's wearing a PokerStars jersey. Pot is now about $175. Turn is an offsuit 5. I ask for a count of Seat 8's chips. He has $129 left. I have him covered and move all-in. He takes less than two seconds to call. I show my hand. He shows Kc-Jc. River: 6c. Flush gets there. I lose.

He had to call $129 to win about $304 ($175 already in the pot plus the $129 I pushed into it on the turn), giving him about 2.4:1 pot odds, with no additional implied pot odds if he hit. I had one club, so, though he didn't know it, there were only 8 of them left, and two of those would pair the board, giving me a full house. So he had one pull at 6 outs. Odds against hitting 38:6, or 6.3:1 against. In other words, he was willing to pay nearly three times what he should have seen as the break-even price to draw.



Blogger John said...

This was some time ago so 6-12 limit at Casino Az… hero jj first in after blinds with a raise villain behind calls bb calls… flop j99 bb cks hero bets villain raises bb folds hero rr villain calls,, turn 9 hero bets villain calls,,, river 9 (board is now j9999 hero checks villain checks and says we chop ( I wish) villan A6off

October 18, 2009 12:07 PM  

Post a Comment

<< Home